Private

FS 3.125

Environmental change and migration

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Details

  • Full Title

    FS 3.125: The role of environmental change for migration in mountains
  • Scheduled

    TBA
  • Location

    TBA
  • Co-Conveners

    ---

  • Assigned to Synthesis Workshop

    ---
  • Thematic Focus

    Migration, Mobility, Sustainable Development
  • Keywords

    Environmental change, Migration, Depopulation

Description

Migration has always been connected to mountains. Looking for resources, seeking refuge or searching for better living conditions people have been settling in mountains or out-migrating from them for centuries. During the last decades, many European mountainous areas suffer from depopulation, aging, increased leaving of young women and young educated people and lack of access to basic services. At the same time, tourism, several promising entrepreneurial possibilities, remote working and, mainly, highly repulsive urban way of living, make certain mountain regions attractive for permanent or semi-permanent habitation. Environmental changes, including changes in climate, nature, biodiversity, land-use, ecosystem services etc., are increasingly impacting societies both outside and within mountain areas, including migration. Will increased urban heat push people to higher elevations? Will environmental decline further drain mountains from their last residents? In this session, we welcome papers exploring different patterns, motivations, impacts of migration, both permanent and semi-permanent, to/from mountains: What are the causes behind it, how ready are mountain regions to support newcomers, which populations and industries are mostly affected, etc. We especially welcome papers including challenges/opportunities imposed by environmental change effects, aiming to shed light on one of the most decisive factors of the near future.

Submitted Abstracts

ID: 3.12169

Determinants for Rural Farmers’ Non-Migration Intention in High-Risk Areas: Evidence from a Rural Community in Southwestern China

Yi Zhang

Abstract/Description

Like migration, non-migration can be an adaptive strategy in the face of disaster risks, yet it has received modest attention in migration research. Based on theory of planned behavior (TPB), five indicators of three dimensions — behavioral attitudes, subjective norms and perceived behavioral control — are extracted as antecedent conditions for generating high degree of non-migration intention. Using questionnaire survey data of 155 farmers in former Caopo Township in Sichuan Province of Southwestern China, fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) is conducted to investigate the determinants for farmers’ intention for non-migration. The results show that household income, agricultural dependence, risk perception, policy satisfaction and subjective norms cannot individually constitute the necessary conditions for non-migration intention; configurational sufficiency analysis indicates that ‘risk unawareness’, ‘livelihood constraint’ and ‘economic better-off’ are three main paths leading to non-migration intention. As these findings inform, measures should be taken targeting farmers with both migration and non-migration intentions, seeking to achieve successful relocation and better reduction of disaster risk in rural communities.

ID: 3.13297

Managed Retreat & Relocation in Relation to Natural Hazards in Switzerland

Flurina Dobler
Huggel, Christian; Weber, Samuel

Abstract/Description

Due to changing conditions such as the climate, inhabited areas are increasingly threatened by natural hazards. Worldwide, the focus lies mostly on sea level rise of coastal regions, whereas in Switzerland, hazards such as rockfalls, debris flows, avalanches or floods can force people to relocate. Thereby, manifold difficulties arise for the affected community, such as social, financial, and legal aspects. In Switzerland, the decision-making process on measures varies greatly and is typically conducted individually for each case concerned. Relocation is only carried out if no other measures, such as technical measures, are possible. However, as the problem increases, relocation of people at risk may not only be considered as a last option but should be included as a possible solution from the very beginning, as this may bring advantages.
In this study, a decision support and evaluation framework is developed, which should enable a structured, integrative and yet individual approach to decision making on managed retreat and serve as a guideline. For this, case studies of historical and current cases from Switzerland, in which a relocation was evaluated or implemented, are analyzed. From the resulting scoping study, the influencing social, financial and legal aspects are elaborated, which form the inner core of the framework. The outer circle of the framework is formed by the whole evaluation and monitoring process which includes aspects such as communication. For this purpose, literature search, expert interviews, and interviews with affected people have been done.
This study shows that sustainable decisions on such sensitive issues as managed retreat can be facilitated and disentangled with the help of an integrative but individually adaptable framework. The relative importance of different factors for those affected by a (possible) relocation is also indicated.
As managed retreat and relocations will gain further importance in the future, it is important to approach and implement the measures in a comprehensive and coordinated way. Such an approach may also open opportunities for those affected, in addition to the (unavoidable) negative aspects.