Social vulnerability and resilience in the French Alps: The disrupting force of climate change on the opportunity to work
Assigned Session: FS 3.184: Innovative approaches and interdisciplinary perspectives. Investigating systemic risks and cascade hazards in mountain regions
Abstract ID: 3.11897 | Not reviewed | Requested as: Talk | TBA | TBA
Philippa Shepherd (1)
(1) Université Grenoble Alpes, 14 et 14 bis Av. Marie Reynoard, 38100 Grenoble, FR
Abstract
Climate change threatens work opportunities in mountain regions worldwide due to the inextricable link between work, natural capital, and environmental conditions. This socio-ecological interconnection is particularly pronounced in mountain regions, making work opportunities highly vulnerable to climate change. As a result, the ability to live well—particularly through work—will be significantly disrupted. The extent to which a person’s work is vulnerable or resilient to climate change depends on multiple factors. Deficiencies in decent work, such as job precariousness, contribute to chronic (un)employment vulnerability. Conversely, those in secure and stable jobs are more likely to remain resilient during disruptions. Working conditions also play a crucial role: individuals already working in harsh, hot environments will be disproportionately sensitive to heat stress exacerbated by climate change. However, work-related social vulnerability and resilience is also shaped by the labour market’s ability to generate work opportunities. A worker’s susceptibility to climate change impacts is determined not only by their individual work conditions and experiences but also by the system’s capacity to generate jobs. To assess worker susceptibility to climate change in the French Alps, we identified indicators representing decent work, labour market resilience, work and worker climate sensitivity, potential climate change impacts, and environmental pressures. A multi-scale cross-sectional spatial analysis reveals notable spatial differences between municipalities where workers are generally more secure and less exposed to climate hazards and those with more precarious employment and greater exposure. These patterns broadly reflect urban-rural divides, valley-high mountain distinctions, and regional variations. Although policymakers often respond to this threat with techno-centric, business-as-usual solutions, we propose a sustainable human development pathway. This approach is essential for safeguarding workers’ well-being while fostering contextually appropriate work opportunities within ecological limits.
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