Early detection of alert states for water management in drought-prone mountain areas

Abstract ID: 3.13263
|Review Result Accepted as Poster
|Abstract registered Abstract is registered
|Presentation Time Slot TBA
|Presentation Location TBA
Andreu, A. (1, 2)
Contreras, E. (1,2); Polo, M. J. (1,2); Herrera, E. (1,2); Herrera, F. (2); and Pimentel, R. (1,2)
(1) Andalusian Institute for Earth System Research, University of Córdoba, 14071 Córdoba, Spain
(2) Department of Agronomy, Unit of Excellence María de Maeztu (DAUCO), University of Córdoba, 14071 Córdoba, Spain
How to cite: Andreu, A.; Contreras, E.; Polo, M. J.; Herrera, E.; Herrera, F.; and Pimentel, R.: Early detection of alert states for water management in drought-prone mountain areas, International Mountain Conference 2025, Innsbruck, Sep 14 - 18 2025, #IMC25-3.13263, 2025.
Categories: Monitoring
Keywords: Drought index, Water quality, Mediterranean, Farming systems
Categories: Monitoring
Keywords: Drought index, Water quality, Mediterranean, Farming systems
Abstract

Drought events in Mediterranean mountain regions severely impact water resource management, requiring advanced monitoring and predictive systems to anticipate and mitigate these impacts. These areas are particularly vulnerable due to their complex hydro-climatic dynamics, variable precipitation patterns, and increasing anthropogenic pressures such as agriculture and livestock farming. Early warning systems are key to these regions, where water scarcity is often aggravated by poor water quality and unsustainable reservoir operations, both derived from the economic uses. Within the Andalusian Drought Plan framework call for Innovative Solutions, this work presents a novel early warning system based on a Combined Water Scarcity Index (CSI). This index integrates four essential indicators: meteorological, agronomic, and hydrological drought, and a water quality deterioration aspect, a critical but often neglected component in conventional drought monitoring. This approach incorporates water quality and reservoir management as key determinants of water availability. The CSI is designed to be distributed and scalable, making it applicable across various levels of decision-making, including reservoir management, agricultural and livestock water planning, watershed management, natural parks, and local governance structures. As a real-world pilot, the study focuses on the Pedroches and Alto Guadiato regions in northern Córdoba, Spain, areas that have been severely affected by prolonged drought conditions, inadequate water management strategies, and declining water quality. This setting allows for exploring drought triggers and system tipping points, establishing threshold values for key indicators, and ensuring a more robust and actionable drought alert system. The project evaluates the complex interdependencies between meteorological, agronomic, hydrological, and water quality indicators by leveraging historical and real-time datasets from meteorological stations, remote sensing, and in-situ water quality monitoring, enhancing the final accuracy of risk assessment. Climate projections and hydrological simulations will enable the anticipation of drought conditions up to six months in advance. Based on scientific knowledge, the service is reproducible, scalable, and implementable in the long term, reinforcing decision-making processes.