Private

FS 2.121

Glacier and permafrost risks in a changing climate

This session is archived

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Description

The cryosphere is a key component of high mountain systems, controlling their dynamics. Climate change is causing the cryosphere to degrade at unprecedented rates, with severe consequences on natural instability. Glacier and permafrost hazards, which are the focus of the IACS/IPA Standing Group GAPHAZ, existed in the past, but are increasing in size, frequency, type and location in response to ongoing  climate change, producing catastrophic process chains. This session invites contributions aimed at enhancing our understanding of such hazards, including glacial lake outburst floods, ice and rock avalanches from steep glaciers and frozen slopes, glacier surges, destabilization of rock glaciers and other periglacial slope movements, and the interactions with earthquakes and volcanic activity. We welcome contributions that consider past, present and future hazards, as well as all components of risk. Contributions that provide insights into hazard and risk assessment, monitoring and modeling, and/or strategies to prevent, mitigate and adapt to the impacts of climate change are encouraged.

Submitted Abstracts

ID:

Reconstructing Glacial Lake Outburst Floods at Mammoth Glacier, Wyoming, USA

Sean Kraemer
Madson, Austin; Watson, Rachel

Abstract/Description

          The Wind River Range of Wyoming, a subrange of the Rocky Mountains, is an alpine region that has seen glacial retreat due to increased temperatures; this retreat has resulted in multiple glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs). A well-documented example was a GLOF at Grasshopper Glacier in September 2003 that released 3.2 million cubic meters and damaged downstream structures, showing the hazards GLOFs pose to humans. A GLOF that occurred at nearby Mammoth Glacier in 1994 has remained poorly documented, despite the glacier being responsible for a catastrophic GLOF ~260 years before present, which released ~2.2 million cubic meters of water. 

           This study used imagery from the Landsat series of satellites, which collects earth observation data in the visible and invisible regions of the spectrum, to reveal that the 1994 GLOF is not the only recent GLOF at Mammoth Glacier. In total, this study has identified thirteen GLOFs between 1994 and 2007 using Landsat imagery. Changes in water extents have been quantified with the Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI), a widely used spectral index for distinguishing surface water extent in satellite images, to identify and date these floods. Combining water extents with elevation datasets has been used to reconstruct the volume of water released during these GLOFs. Additionally, historic newspapers and aerial and ground photography have identified two other likely GLOFs at Mammoth Glacier. Overall, this study has identified fifteen glacier lake outburst floods at Mammoth Glacier; this is the highest concentration of GLOFs in the Rocky Mountains that has been documented since the Missoula floods. Understanding these GLOFs helps protect downstream residents, agriculture, and infrastructure.